Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 8°C in London on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.7% for 'NO', participants overwhelmingly expect temperatures to exceed 8°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, predicting a 99% chance that the temperature will not be 8°C, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily skewed towards temperatures above 8°C.
• 2 The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in the predictions.
• 3 Market pricing indicates a fair assessment of the likelihood of temperatures.
• 4 Time to expiry is immediate, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in late March typically show higher temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.