Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 8°C in London on March 21.

With a market probability of 99.05% for temperatures exceeding 8°C, the consensus is that it is highly unlikely to be that low. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for this outcome, suggesting a strong belief in warmer conditions.

• 1 Market shows high confidence in temperatures above 8°C.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slight divergence from market consensus.
• 3 Current sentiment heavily leans towards warmer weather.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.