Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on March 21?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Lucknow's temperature on March 21.

With a market probability of 99.5% for NO and only 0.5% for YES, participants overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature to be below 31°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low probability of 2% for YES, suggesting a consensus on the expected weather conditions.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 31°C.
• 2 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 Time to expiry is short at 31 hours, adding urgency to predictions.
• 4 Market pricing suggests it is fairly valued with an edge of 1.5.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect the responsiveness of the market to new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.