The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Lucknow's temperature on March 17.
Current market probabilities indicate a 98.9% likelihood that the highest temperature in Lucknow will not reach 36°C on March 17. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a 97.4% probability for the NO outcome, suggesting a consensus against the temperature threshold being met. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market pricing is relatively aligned with the AI's assessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.