Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 38°C in Lucknow on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 38°C in Lucknow on March 8. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of this temperature being met. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 38°C.
• 2 Current weather forecasts do not support high temperatures.
• 3 Historical temperature data for early March in Lucknow shows lower averages.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential last-minute changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.