Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 14?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 40°C in Lucknow on March 14.

The prediction market shows a significant consensus that the highest temperature in Lucknow will not reach 40°C, with a NO probability of 99.75%. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of exceeding this temperature threshold. The edge of 0.75 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 40°C.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.25%.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the NO prediction.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.