Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on March 14?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Lucknow's temperature on March 14.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that the highest temperature in Lucknow will not reach 41°C on March 14. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low chance of the YES outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge, indicating confidence in the NO prediction.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100.
• 4 Edge of 0.95 suggests fair pricing in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.