Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or higher on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 41°C in Lucknow on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 41°C. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of exceeding this temperature threshold.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 41°C.
• 2 The high confidence level suggests strong backing for the NO position.
• 3 Historical weather data may support lower temperature trends for this date.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential last-minute shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.