Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or higher on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 42°C in Lucknow on March 17.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, participants overwhelmingly expect temperatures to remain below 42°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of exceeding this temperature threshold. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 42°C.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance of 1% for temperatures reaching 42°C.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is accurately reflecting expectations.
• 5 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the NO prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.