Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on March 14?

The market strongly favors that Lucknow's temperature won't reach 43°C on March 14.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 43°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of this event occurring. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The historical temperature data for March in Lucknow supports lower averages.
• 3 Liquidity in this market appears stable, reflecting confidence in predictions.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.
• 5 The edge indicates that the market's pricing is consistent with the probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.