Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 11°C or below on March 29?

Market favors temperatures above 11°C in Madrid on March 29.

The prediction market indicates an 87.5% probability that the highest temperature in Madrid will exceed 11°C on March 29. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 84.5%, suggesting a consensus that warmer conditions are expected. The confidence level of 55/100 indicates moderate uncertainty in the forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 11°C.
• 2 The market probability and AI probability are closely aligned.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in late March may influence outcomes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.