Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on March 29?

The market favors temperatures above 12°C in Madrid on March 29.

With a market probability of 81% for NO, it indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature will exceed 12°C. The Pulse AI probability also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher confidence in the YES outcome. The edge of 3 suggests that the market is fairly priced at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 12°C.
• 2 The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, which may influence market dynamics.
• 4 The edge of 3 suggests the market is balanced and fairly priced.
• 5 Pulse AI shows a slight inclination towards a YES outcome, but still low overall.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.