Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 29?

The market favors temperatures above 13°C in Madrid on March 29.

The market probability indicates a 67% chance that the highest temperature will exceed 13°C, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for this outcome at 64%. The edge of 3 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence in the forecast.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards temperatures exceeding 13°C.
• 2 Weather forecasts play a crucial role in shaping market expectations.
• 3 Historical temperature data for March in Madrid supports higher averages.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, allowing for reasonable price adjustments.
• 5 Confidence level of 60 indicates moderate uncertainty in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.