Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 13°C in Madrid on March 28.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures of 13°C or below, participants are confident that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, predicting a 99% chance that temperatures will exceed this threshold.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus on temperatures exceeding 13°C.
• 2 Current sentiment indicates minimal chance of a cold snap.
• 3 Historical weather patterns suggest warmer temperatures for late March.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential last-minute changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.