Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on March 29?

The market predicts a low chance of Madrid reaching 14°C on March 29.

With a market probability of 21% for a high of 14°C and a Pulse AI probability of 24%, the consensus leans towards a NO outcome. The edge of 3 indicates that the market is fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in sentiment before the expiry.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome for 14°C.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI prediction.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 16 hours, adding urgency to market movements.
• 5 The edge of 3 suggests the market is accurately reflecting current expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.