Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 14°C in Madrid on March 30.

With a market probability of 100% for temperatures exceeding 14°C, the consensus indicates a high likelihood of warmer weather. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, predicting only a 1% chance for temperatures at or below 14°C. The confidence level of 80 suggests a solid agreement among participants.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% probability for NO.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 80 indicates a robust agreement among traders.
• 4 No liquidity concerns are evident in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current data suggests stability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.