Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on March 30?

The market predicts Madrid's temperature will not reach 15°C on March 30.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the highest temperature in Madrid reaching 15°C on March 30, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely, indicating a minimal chance of 1% for 'YES', suggesting that current forecasts and historical data support this outcome.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against a 15°C high.
• 2 Current sentiment reflects confidence in cooler temperatures.
• 3 Historical weather data supports low temperature predictions.
• 4 Market pricing appears accurate with minimal edge.
• 5 Uncertainty around time to expiry may affect future probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.