Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 27?

High probability indicates strong consensus that Madrid's temperature will reach 18°C on March 27.

The market shows a very high probability of 99.75% for the temperature in Madrid to be 18°C on March 27, suggesting a strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 99%, indicating confidence in this prediction. However, the edge of -0.75 suggests the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced expectations.

• 1 Market probability indicates overwhelming confidence in a temperature of 18°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely matches market sentiment, reinforcing the prediction.
• 3 The edge suggests that the market is accurately priced with little room for profit.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.