Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 19°C in Madrid on March 29.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.55% for the NO outcome, indicating a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 19°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal deviation from the market's pricing. With only 22 hours until expiry, the current probabilities reflect a stable outlook on this weather prediction.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.55%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level at 65/100 suggests moderate certainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for major shifts.
• 5 Edge of 0.55 indicates market is fairly priced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.