Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 20°C in Madrid on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus is that Madrid's highest temperature will not hit 20°C on March 28. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, suggesting a high level of confidence in the prediction.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 20°C.
• 2 Current predictions show minimal likelihood of reaching the threshold.
• 3 Historical weather data supports the low probability of such temperatures.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge noted.
• 5 Confidence level indicates strong agreement among participants.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.