Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or higher on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 22°C in Madrid on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that temperatures will not reach 22°C or higher in Madrid on March 27. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 22°C.
• 2 The consensus indicates a low likelihood of exceeding the temperature threshold.
• 3 Market probability suggests a well-informed betting environment.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Limited time pressure due to unknown expiry may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.