Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 23°C in Madrid on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there's a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 23°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating low expectations for warmer weather on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 23°C.
• 2 Recent weather patterns suggest a cooler trend for late March in Madrid.
• 3 Historical data shows March temperatures typically do not exceed 23°C.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility in predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is uncertain, which may affect last-minute betting behavior.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.