Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Madrid's temperature on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 24°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the YES outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests strong confidence in the NO prediction.
• 3 Historical weather data for Madrid in late March typically shows lower temperatures.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.