Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C or higher on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 24°C in Madrid on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 24°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 24°C.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 3 Historical weather data for late March supports lower temperature expectations.
• 4 Market appears to be efficiently priced with minimal edge.
• 5 Confidence in the prediction is rated at 80 out of 100.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.