Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 16?

The market strongly favors that Miami's temperature won't reach 80-81°F on March 16.

With a market probability of 97.45% for 'NO', participants largely believe the highest temperature will fall outside the 80-81°F range. The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in this prediction, suggesting that while the market is fairly priced, there may be some uncertainty regarding weather fluctuations.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Market probability indicates low likelihood of temperatures in the specified range.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with no significant edge.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.