Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 88-89°F in Miami on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that temperatures will not fall within the 88-89°F range. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1.65%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures below 88°F.
• 2 The probability of reaching 88-89°F is low based on historical weather data.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the current predictions.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.
• 5 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.