Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on March 30?

The market strongly predicts Milan's temperature will not reach 15°C on March 30.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Milan will not reach 15°C on March 30. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 99% probability to the NO outcome. With a confidence level of 80/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against reaching 15°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing the NO prediction.
• 3 Confidence level indicates a high degree of certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is accurately priced based on available data.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.