Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on March 30?

The market strongly predicts that Milan's temperature won't reach 18°C on March 30.

With a market probability of 0% for a high of 18°C, there is a strong consensus that this temperature will not be met in Milan. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 1% for this outcome, indicating a high level of confidence in the NO prediction. The edge of 1 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against reaching 18°C in Milan.
• 2 Confidence level of 80/100 indicates strong belief in the NO outcome.
• 3 The low probability from Pulse AI aligns with market sentiment.
• 4 Current weather forecasts do not support a high of 18°C.
• 5 Market appears to be fairly priced with no significant edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.