Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors that Milan's temperature won't reach 21°C on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 21°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of this event occurring. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 21°C.
• 2 Historical weather patterns in Milan typically do not support such high temperatures in late March.
• 3 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting confidence in the predictions.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in probabilities.
• 5 The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.