Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on March 30?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 23°C in Milan on March 30.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in Milan will be below 23°C on March 30. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 99%, suggesting a consensus on cooler weather. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is likely fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 23°C.
• 2 Key factors include historical weather patterns for late March.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting current probabilities.
• 4 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.
• 5 Confidence level of 85/100 suggests strong market belief in the NO outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.