Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C or higher on March 30?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 10°C in Munich on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus that temperatures will not reach 10°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, suggesting limited expectation for a significant temperature rise. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is likely fairly priced given current forecasts.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 10°C.
• 2 Current forecasts do not support a rise to 10°C or higher.
• 3 The market appears to be efficiently priced with minimal edge.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 No imminent time pressure as the expiry date is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.