Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 11?

The market strongly predicts Munich's temperature will not reach 11°C on March 11.

The prediction market shows a 0% probability for the highest temperature in Munich to be 11°C on March 11, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 1% probability for 'YES' and 99% for 'NO', suggesting that current forecasts and historical data support this prediction.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against reaching 11°C in Munich.
• 2 Current forecasts do not support a temperature rise to 11°C.
• 3 Historical temperature data for March suggests lower averages.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.
• 5 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.