Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 14?

The market strongly predicts Munich's temperature won't reach 11°C on March 14.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Munich will not reach 11°C on March 14. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, which gives a minimal chance of 1% for the YES outcome. The market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment is firmly against reaching 11°C.
• 2 Historical weather patterns in March typically do not support high temperatures.
• 3 Liquidity in this market is stable, reflecting consistent participant confidence.
• 4 The Pulse AI's probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current data suggests low volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.