Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Munich's temperature on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO and only 0.05% for YES, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 11°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, predicting a 98.45% chance for NO, indicating a strong alignment between market and AI forecasts.

• 1 Market heavily favors NO outcome with 99.95% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, predicting 98.45% for NO.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 5 Time to expiry for the market is currently unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.