Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 11?

The market strongly favors that Munich's temperature won't reach 12°C on March 11.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Munich will not reach 12°C on March 11. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 99% probability to the NO outcome, suggesting a strong consensus among participants.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against reaching 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of a temperature rise.
• 3 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced based on current information.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.