Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 12°C in Munich on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 12°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating a low likelihood of higher temperatures. The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 12°C.
• 2 Historical weather data may support the low temperature prediction.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable with minimal fluctuations.
• 4 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to predictions.
• 5 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.