Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 14?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 13°C in Munich on March 14.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 13°C in Munich on March 14. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the temperature meeting the threshold. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures below 13°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 High edge indicates fair pricing in the current market.
• 4 Confidence level suggests strong agreement among participants.
• 5 No immediate time pressure noted, but expiry details are unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.