Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 14°C in Munich on March 23.

With a market probability of 99.9% for NO, participants overwhelmingly expect that the highest temperature will not reach 14°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a consensus that the forecast is unlikely to meet this threshold.

• 1 Current market sentiment is heavily skewed towards NO.
• 2 The probability of YES is extremely low at 0.10%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.9.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry for the market is currently unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.