Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 11?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 15°C in Munich on March 11.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of the highest temperature in Munich reaching 15°C on March 11, with a consensus leaning heavily towards 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood of a temperature rise to this level.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors a NO outcome at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant misalignment.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future temperature predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.