Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on March 11?

The market strongly favors a high of 16°C in Munich on March 11.

With a market probability of 99.25% for a YES outcome, there is a strong consensus that Munich will reach 16°C on March 11. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating robust confidence in this prediction, though the edge suggests the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of a YES outcome.
• 2 The high probability suggests strong confidence in the forecast.
• 3 Market edge indicates no significant mispricing at this time.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.