Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on March 11?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 18°C in Munich on March 11.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in Munich will be below 18°C on March 11. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a warmer outcome. Overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 18°C.
• 2 Historical weather data for March suggests cooler temperatures are typical.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 4 Pulse AI's prediction aligns closely with market odds, indicating consensus.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.