Will the highest temperature in Munich be 2°C on March 30?

The market indicates a 0% chance of Munich reaching 2°C on March 30.

The current market probability suggests a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Munich will not reach 2°C on March 30. Both the market and Pulse AI probabilities align closely, indicating that participants believe this outcome is highly unlikely.

• 1 Market consensus shows a strong belief that 2°C will not be reached.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market expectations, indicating stability in predictions.
• 3 Confidence level of 85/100 suggests a high degree of certainty among participants.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.