Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors that Munich's temperature won't reach 4°C on March 16.

Current market probability indicates a 0% chance of the highest temperature in Munich reaching 4°C on March 16, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a high likelihood that the temperature will remain below this threshold.

• 1 Market probability shows a clear NO stance at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.