Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 6°C in Munich on March 16.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Munich will not reach 6°C on March 16. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a slight chance of 1% for temperatures to hit 6°C, suggesting a strong consensus against this outcome.

• 1 Market shows a clear consensus against temperatures reaching 6°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of change.
• 3 Confidence level of 80 suggests strong conviction in the current probabilities.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect future market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.