Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 17?

High probability for Munich's temperature to reach 7°C on March 17.

The market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Munich will be 7°C on March 17, with a probability of 98.70%. The Pulse AI also supports this prediction with a probability of 97.2%, indicating a high level of confidence in the forecast. The edge of -1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of YES.
• 2 Current probabilities indicate strong confidence in the forecast.
• 3 The edge suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 Weather forecasts are key drivers of market movements.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.