Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 31°F in NYC on March 18.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 31°F or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also reflects a strong belief in higher temperatures, indicating a low likelihood of a cold snap on that date.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against temperatures at or below 31°F.
• 2 Current sentiment indicates confidence in warmer weather predictions.
• 3 The edge suggests the market is fairly priced with little room for movement.
• 4 High confidence level of 80/100 reflects strong market conviction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.