Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on March 7?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 33°F in NYC on March 7.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in New York City will exceed 33°F on March 7. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a high level of confidence in warmer conditions. Given the edge of 1, the market appears fairly priced based on available data.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus for temperatures above 33°F.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a very low probability for temperatures at or below 33°F.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced without significant bias.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential last-minute changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.