Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on March 19?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 35°F in NYC on March 19.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 35°F or below, there is a strong consensus that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability for temperatures exceeding 35°F, indicating high confidence in the forecast.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus on temperatures exceeding 35°F.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests minimal uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding some uncertainty to future forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.