Will the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on March 14?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 43°F in NYC on March 14.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 43°F or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also aligns with this view, indicating a very low probability for the YES outcome, suggesting confidence in a higher temperature forecast.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures exceeding 43°F.
• 2 Pulse AI reflects a similar sentiment with 99% probability for NO.
• 3 Current market pricing suggests fair valuation with an edge of 1.
• 4 Confidence level at 65 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.