Will the highest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on March 20?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 43°F in NYC on March 20.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of the highest temperature in New York City being 43°F or below on March 20, with a market probability of 0.15% for YES and 99.85% for NO. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting that the likelihood of temperatures exceeding this threshold is significantly higher.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 43°F.
• 2 High confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 3 Market pricing suggests fair valuation with an edge of 0.85.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, enhancing the urgency of weather updates.
• 5 AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment, reinforcing the NO position.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.